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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Feyenoord
S U S S U
3–0
Full-time
Heracles
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
71%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
63%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,30 xG 0,27
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Heracles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 22 3 0 +67 +53.2 69
2 Feyenoord 24 17 5 2 +41 +46.3 56
3 Twente 25 16 5 4 +25 +17.6 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 25 13 7 5 +26 +13.8 46
5 Ajax 25 11 7 7 +10 +9.7 40
6 Nijmegen 24 10 8 6 +11 -7.8 38
7 Go Ahead Eagles 24 10 6 8 +5 -5.6 36
8 Utrecht 25 8 9 8 -3 -6.6 33
9 Heerenveen 25 9 4 12 -6 -2.2 31
10 For Sittard 25 8 7 10 -13 +0.2 31
11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 6 11 -5 -7.6 30
12 Almere City 25 7 8 10 -17 -11.6 29
13 Zwolle 25 7 7 11 -11 -9.0 28
14 Heracles 24 6 5 13 -24 -19.3 23
15 Excelsior 25 4 9 12 -18 -12.8 21
16 Waalwijk 25 6 3 16 -19 -11.5 21
17 Vitesse 25 4 4 17 -32 -20.9 16
18 Volendam 25 3 5 17 -37 -26.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
1–0 Y. Minteh
L. Ivanušec
28′
2–0 S. Giménez
M. Wieffer
41′
Half-time 2–0
51′
🔁 N. Bakboord
↦ J. Wieckhoff
O. Lingr 🔁
↦ Q. Timber
71′
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
71′
Igor Paixão 🔁
↦ L. Ivanušec
71′
71′
🔁 T. Bruns
↦ J. Bruijn
71′
🔁 S. Sonnenberg
↦ K. Leerdam
73′
🟨 Jizz Hornkamp
73′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
3–0 Igor Paixão
73′
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
79′
A. Milambo 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
84′
84′
🔁 M. Engels
↦ R. Roosken
84′
🔁 M. Sankoh
↦ J. Hornkamp
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
4 L. Geertruida D
3 T. Beelen D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
8 Q. Timber M
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 M. Wieffer M
19 Y. Minteh F
29 S. Giménez F
17 L. Ivanušec F
Bench (9)
32 O. Lingr
2 B. Nieuwkoop
14 Igor Paixão
9 A. Ueda
27 A. Milambo
25 L. Sauer
39 M. van Sas
15 M. López
31 K. Lamprou

Coach: A. Slot

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
3 J. Wieckhoff D
27 K. Leerdam D
21 J. Hoogma D
22 F. Oppegård D
14 B. De Keersmaecker M
20 A. Hrustić M
7 B. Limbombe M
5 J. Bruijn M
12 R. Roosken M
9 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (11)
19 N. Bakboord
17 T. Bruns
4 S. Sonnenberg
8 M. Engels
44 M. Sankoh
16 F. de Keijzer
15 J. Willems
35 S. Bultman
32 S. Scheperman
36 T. Jansink
18 M. Vejinović

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,07
U
12,15
B
25,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,23
U2,5
3,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.