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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
1–0
Full-time
Waalwijk
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 32%
41%
22%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,13 xG 1,17
54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 7. · Waalwijk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 21 2 0 +66 +52.6 65
2 Feyenoord 23 17 4 2 +41 +45.6 55
3 Twente 23 14 5 4 +23 +13.9 47
4 AZ Alkmaar 23 12 6 5 +22 +12.0 42
5 Ajax 23 10 6 7 +8 +8.0 36
6 Nijmegen 23 9 8 6 +9 -7.7 35
7 Go Ahead Eagles 22 9 6 7 +5 -5.3 33
8 Utrecht 23 8 8 7 -1 -7.0 32
9 Sparta Rotterdam 23 8 5 10 -4 -6.1 29
10 Heerenveen 23 8 4 11 -6 -3.2 28
11 Zwolle 23 7 6 10 -9 -9.7 27
12 For Sittard 23 7 6 10 -16 +0.0 27
13 Almere City 23 7 6 10 -17 -10.8 27
14 Heracles 23 6 4 13 -24 -19.0 22
15 Excelsior 23 4 9 10 -11 -9.7 21
16 Waalwijk 23 5 3 15 -20 -11.8 18
17 Vitesse 23 4 4 15 -29 -17.5 16
18 Volendam 24 3 4 17 -37 -24.3 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Waalwijk
41′
🟨 Julian Lelieveld
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Gaari
↦ J. Lelieveld
1–0 J. Breum
S. Tengstedt
61′
T. Baeten 🔁
↦ S. Tengstedt
67′
O. Edvardsen 🔁
↦ J. Breum
67′
P. Saathof 🔁
↦ L. Everink
73′
74′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ R. Niemeijer
75′
🔁 F. Stevanović
↦ D. Cleonise
75′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ C. Lokesa
D. James 🔁
↦ F. Stokkers
82′
86′
🔁 I. Takidine
↦ A. Meijers
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 J. de Lange G
24 L. Everink D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
21 E. Llansana M
18 W. Willumsson M
8 E. Linthorst M
7 S. Tengstedt F
27 F. Stokkers F
29 J. Breum F
Bench (7)
32 T. Baeten
23 O. Edvardsen
28 P. Saathof
15 D. James
22 E. Mulder
30 S. Jansen
20 X. Blomme

Coach: R. Hake

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
4 S. Adewoye D
3 D. Van den Buijs D
28 A. Meijers D
24 G. Roemeratoe M
6 Y. Oukili M
7 D. Cleonise M
27 R. Niemeijer M
14 C. Lokesa M
9 D. Min F
Bench (12)
23 J. Gaari
29 M. Kramer
10 F. Stevanović
11 Z. Bakkali
22 I. Takidine
8 P. Vroegh
25 J. Bruma
19 R. Margaret
5 T. Lutonda
13 M. Spenkelink
21 J. Houwen
35 K. Felida

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
4,00
B
4,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.