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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Maritimo

T T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Moreirense

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

29%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

43%

Both score Ø 56%

83%

29%

Average goals

3,3

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 16. · Moreirense 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Famalicao	6	5	1	0	+7	16
3	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+12	15
4	Boavista	7	2	5	0	+2	11
5	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Tondela	8	2	4	2	+0	10
7	Guimaraes	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Sp Lisbon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Santa Clara	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Setubal	6	1	4	1	-3	7
12	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	4	1	-3	7
13	Gil Vicente	7	1	4	2	-4	7
14	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Maritimo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Sp Braga	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Aves	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Gil Vicente	5	1	4	0	+1	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Moreirense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Setubal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Sp Lisbon	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Tondela	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Lisbon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Portimonense	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
14	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.