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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Portimonense

T S T U S

1–3

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 8. · Sp Lisbon 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
2	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Portimonense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Belenenses	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Aves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.