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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Porto
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -20 Sp Braga – Porto 2–1 17. Jan -20 Porto – Sp Braga 1–2 30. Mar -19 Sp Braga – Porto 2–3 10. Nov -18 Porto – Sp Braga 1–0 3. Feb -18 Porto – Sp Braga 3–1

Match report

Porto Sp Braga
-5′
🟥 Raul Silva
12′
🟨 Bruno Viana
Jesús Corona ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
14′
21′
⚽ Castro 0–1
Nuno Sequeira
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Sérgio Oliveira ⚽
Alex Telles
46′
2–1 Alex Telles ⚽
49′
60′
🟨 Ricardo Esgaio
60′
🔁 Guilherme Schettine
↦ Castro
60′
🔁 André Horta
↦ Raúl Silva
60′
🔁 Galeno
↦ Abel Ruiz
Sérgio Oliveira 🟨
68′
72′
🟨 André Horta
Z. Sanusi 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
72′
78′
🟨 David Carmo
78′
🔁 Vítor Tormena
↦ Nuno Sequeira
78′
🔁 Iuri Medeiros
↦ Al Musrati
M. Taremi 🔁
↦ J. Corona
87′
M. Loum 🔁
↦ M. Uribe
87′
3–1 Alex Telles ⚽
89′
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ Otávio
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
1 A. Marchesín G
3 Pepe D
13 Alex Telles D
19 C. Mbemba D
18 Wilson Manafá D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
22 Danilo Pereira M
8 M. Uribe M
25 Otávio F
17 J. Corona F
11 M. Marega F
Bench (9)
12 Z. Sanusi
9 M. Taremi
6 M. Loum
50 Fábio Vieira
4 Diogo Leite
99 Diogo Costa
30 Evanilson
23 João Mário
29 Tiquinho Soares

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Sp Braga

3-4-3
1 Matheus Magalhães G
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
5 Nuno Sequeira M
36 Bruno Viana D
16 David Carmo D
88 Castro M
27 Fransérgio F
8 Al Musrati M
21 Ricardo Horta F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (9)
95 Guilherme Schettine
15 André Horta
90 Galeno
3 Vítor Tormena
45 Iuri Medeiros
6 Rolando
7 João Novais
12 Tiago Sá
74 Francisco Moura

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
🔒
U
3,92
🔒
B
5,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
U2,5
2,06
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.