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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
2–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Santa Clara 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Porto 4 2 1 1 +6 7
3 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +2 6
6 Maritimo 4 2 0 2 -1 6
7 Gil Vicente 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Nacional 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Moreirense 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Belenenses 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Portimonense 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 -3 4
14 Rio Ave 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Boavista 3 0 2 1 -5 2
16 Tondela 4 0 2 2 -5 2
17 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Farense 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Santa Clara
1–0 O. Reabciuk
L. Singh
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Sagna
↦ Jean Patric
46′
🔁 Lincoln
↦ Rafael Ramos
50′
🟨 Fabio Cardoso
64′
🔁 S. Moghanlou
↦ Carlos
64′
🔁 Costinha
↦ Anderson Carvalho
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
68′
Hélder Ferreira 🔁
↦ João Amaral
68′
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
68′
69′
Thiago Santana 1–1
P. Sagna
2–1 Douglas Tanque
Luíz Carlos
72′
79′
🟨 Thiago Santana
Zé Uilton 🔁
↦ L. Singh
80′
82′
🔁 Ukra
↦ Osama Rashid
Mohamed Diaby 🟨
83′
D. Jan 🔁
↦ Douglas Tanque
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-3-3
1 Jordi G
2 Marco Baixinho D
44 Marcelo D
29 Fernando Fonseca D
5 O. Reabciuk D
22 Luíz Carlos M
77 João Amaral F
10 Bruno Costa M
46 S. Eustáquio M
99 Douglas Tanque F
11 L. Singh F
Bench (9)
7 Hélder Ferreira
24 M. Diaby
9 Zé Uilton
18 D. Jan
31 Michael
26 Maracás
6 Martín Calderón
17 Adriano Castanheira
23 Lucas Silva

Coach: Pepa

Santa Clara

5-4-1
99 Marco Pereira G
6 Mansur D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
2 Rafael Ramos D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
8 Osama Rashid M
35 Diogo Salomão D
14 Thiago Santana F
13 Carlos M
26 Jean Patric M
Bench (9)
95 P. Sagna
10 Lincoln
70 S. Moghanlou
20 Costinha
17 Ukra
31 C. González
21 Nené
1 André Ferreira
19 Júlio Romão

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,08
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,50
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.