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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
Farense
T T T
3–3
Full-time
Famalicao
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farense Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Farense 18. · Famalicao 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Porto 4 2 1 1 +6 7
3 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Santa Clara 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +2 6
6 Maritimo 4 2 0 2 -1 6
7 Gil Vicente 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Nacional 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Moreirense 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Belenenses 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Portimonense 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Pacos Ferreira 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 -3 4
15 Rio Ave 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 Boavista 3 0 2 1 -5 2
17 Tondela 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Farense 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Farense Famalicao
1–0 Eduardo Mancha ⚽
Jonatan Lucca
4′
2–0 César Martins ⚽
R. Gauld
25′
Alex Pinto 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Iván Jaime
↦ C. Verdonk
46′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ J. Pereyra
46′
🔁 M. Trotta
↦ Dyego Sousa
Eduardo Mancha 🟨
50′
Miguel Bandarra 🔁
↦ Alex Pinto
55′
B. Mansilla 🔁
↦ Hugo Seco
55′
60′
🟨 Edwin Herrera
Patrick 🔁
↦ N. Stojiljković
61′
65′
⚽ Rúben Lameiras 2–1
72′
🔁 Jhonata Robert
↦ C. Valenzuela
73′
⚽ Rúben Lameiras 2–2
80′
⚽ Bruno Jordão 2–3
S. Babić
83′
🔁 A. Luković
↦ Bruno Jordão
Madi Queta 🔁
↦ Fabrício Isidoro
86′
Cláudio Falcão 🔁
↦ Jonatan Lucca
86′
88′
🟨 Edwin Herrera
88′
🟥 Edwin Herrera
3–3 B. Mansilla ⚽
Cláudio Falcão
94′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Farense

4-3-3
12 Rafael Defendi G
4 César Martins D
78 Alex Pinto D
95 Eduardo Mancha D
5 A. Oudrhiri M
23 R. Gauld F
47 Jonatan Lucca M
14 Fabrício Isidoro M
9 N. Stojiljković F
92 Fábio Nunes D
7 Hugo Seco F
Bench (9)
17 Miguel Bandarra
11 B. Mansilla
19 Patrick
10 Madi Queta
29 Cláudio Falcão
13 Bura
41 Cássio Scheid
1 Hugo Marques
26 B. Aouacheria

Coach: Sérgio Vieira

Famalicao

4-3-3
1 I. Zlobin G
3 S. Babić D
5 C. Verdonk D
15 Riccieli D
24 E. Herrera D
66 Bruno Jordão M
18 J. Pereyra M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
99 Dyego Sousa F
10 Rúben Lameiras F
22 C. Valenzuela F
Bench (9)
17 Iván Jaime
28 Gil Dias
29 M. Trotta
11 Jhonata Robert
20 A. Luković
46 Vaná
6 Guga
13 L. Campana
4 Henrique Trevisan

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
🔒
U ✓
3,22
🔒
B
2,85
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,00
🔒
U2,5
1,79
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.