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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Famalicao

U T S U U

2–2

Full-time

Boavista

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Famalicao 14. · Boavista 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Porto	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Nacional	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Maritimo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
15	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Boavista	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Tondela	3	1	1	1	-3	4
7	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Farense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Rio Ave	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Porto	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Famalicao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Guimaraes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.