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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Sp Lisbon

S T S S S

4–0

Full-time

Santa Clara

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 53%

79%

27%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

58%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

23 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 2. · Santa Clara 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	34	29	4	1	+64	91
2	Sp Lisbon	33	26	4	3	+46	82
3	Benfica	34	23	5	6	+48	74
4	Sp Braga	33	19	8	6	+22	65
5	Gil Vicente	33	13	12	8	+10	51
6	Guimaraes	33	12	9	12	+4	45
7	Santa Clara	33	9	13	11	-12	40
8	Estoril	34	9	12	13	-7	39
9	Maritimo	34	9	11	14	-5	38
10	Boavista	34	7	17	10	-13	38
11	Portimonense	34	10	8	16	-14	38
12	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	11	14	-15	38
13	Famalicao	33	8	12	13	-7	36
14	Vizela	34	7	12	15	-21	33
15	Arouca	34	7	10	17	-24	31
16	Moreirense	34	7	8	19	-18	29
17	Tondela	34	7	7	20	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	5	11	18	-32	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	15	2	0	+39	47
2	Sp Lisbon	16	13	1	2	+22	40
3	Sp Braga	17	10	4	3	+14	34
4	Benfica	17	10	3	4	+20	33
5	Santa Clara	17	8	6	3	+1	30
6	Guimaraes	16	8	3	5	+9	27
7	Gil Vicente	17	6	6	5	+6	24
8	Boavista	17	4	10	3	+0	22
9	Pacos Ferreira	17	5	6	6	-3	21
10	Estoril	17	4	8	5	+0	20
11	Famalicao	16	4	7	5	+0	19
12	Vizela	17	4	7	6	-5	19
13	Arouca	17	5	4	8	-14	19
14	Maritimo	17	4	6	7	+2	18
15	Moreirense	17	5	3	9	-1	18
16	Belenenses	17	5	3	9	-15	18
17	Portimonense	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Tondela	17	4	4	9	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	14	2	1	+25	44
2	Sp Lisbon	17	13	3	1	+24	42
3	Benfica	17	13	2	2	+28	41
4	Sp Braga	16	9	4	3	+8	31
5	Gil Vicente	16	7	6	3	+4	27
6	Portimonense	17	6	4	7	-7	22
7	Maritimo	17	5	5	7	-7	20
8	Estoril	17	5	4	8	-7	19
9	Guimaraes	17	4	6	7	-5	18
10	Famalicao	17	4	5	8	-7	17
11	Pacos Ferreira	17	4	5	8	-12	17
12	Boavista	17	3	7	7	-13	16
13	Vizela	17	3	5	9	-16	14
14	Arouca	17	2	6	9	-10	12
15	Tondela	17	3	3	11	-17	12
16	Moreirense	17	2	5	10	-17	11
17	Santa Clara	16	1	7	8	-13	10
18	Belenenses	17	0	8	9	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.