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Pro League

Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Waregem

S T S S T

5–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

30%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

21 Shots 3

13 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 7. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	20	16	3	1	+35	51
2	Antwerp	22	13	4	5	+19	43
3	Standard	21	12	5	4	+21	41
4	Charleroi	20	12	5	3	+17	41
5	Gent	20	11	5	4	+18	38
6	Genk	22	10	5	7	+8	35
7	Waregem	20	9	5	6	+6	32
8	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+3	32
9	Mouscron	19	6	8	5	+2	26
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	19	6	8	5	+2	26
11	Anderlecht	20	5	9	6	+0	24
12	St Truiden	20	6	5	9	-12	23
13	Eupen	21	5	5	11	-17	20
14	Kortrijk	22	4	4	14	-13	16
15	Oostende	20	4	4	12	-16	16
16	Cercle Brugge	21	3	4	14	-24	13
17	Beveren	18	2	5	11	-23	11
18	Waasland-Beveren	19	2	5	12	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	10	9	1	0	+21	28
2	Standard	11	9	1	1	+19	28
3	Antwerp	10	9	1	0	+16	28
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+18	24
5	Genk	11	7	1	3	+5	22
6	Charleroi	10	7	1	2	+5	22
7	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+6	16
10	Anderlecht	11	3	6	2	+3	15
11	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Oostende	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Kortrijk	12	3	2	7	-2	11
14	St Truiden	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Cercle Brugge	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	Eupen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+17	27
2	Charleroi	10	5	4	1	+12	19
3	Mechelen	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Waregem	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	Genk	11	3	4	4	+3	13
7	Standard	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	St Truiden	9	4	0	5	-9	12
9	Gent	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Eupen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
13	Anderlecht	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Beveren	9	1	3	5	-8	6
15	Waasland-Beveren	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Kortrijk	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Oostende	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Cercle Brugge	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.