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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Genk

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Charleroi

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches

Win Ø 51%

48%

54%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

70%

46%

Both score Ø 55%

63%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

10 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Charleroi 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	19	6	1	+43	63
2	Gent	26	15	6	5	+25	51
3	Charleroi	26	14	9	3	+25	51
4	Antwerp	26	15	6	5	+21	51
5	Standard	28	14	6	8	+18	48
6	Genk	27	13	5	9	+10	44
7	Mechelen	25	12	5	8	+2	41
8	Waregem	25	10	5	10	+0	35
9	St Truiden	27	9	6	12	-12	33
10	Anderlecht	25	7	11	7	+2	32
11	Mouscron	23	6	9	8	-3	27
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	23	6	9	8	-3	27
13	Eupen	26	7	6	13	-17	27
14	Kortrijk	27	7	5	15	-11	26
15	Waasland-Beveren	23	5	5	13	-24	20
16	Beveren	23	5	5	13	-24	20
17	Oostende	26	5	4	17	-24	19
18	Cercle Brugge	26	4	4	18	-28	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	14	12	2	0	+28	38
2	Standard	14	10	2	2	+19	32
3	Antwerp	12	10	2	0	+17	32
4	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+25	30
5	Charleroi	13	9	2	2	+13	29
6	Genk	13	9	1	3	+9	28
7	Waregem	11	6	1	4	+9	19
8	Anderlecht	13	4	6	3	+4	18
9	Kortrijk	15	5	3	7	+1	18
10	Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
12	Mechelen	12	4	4	4	-2	16
13	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-1	15
14	Oostende	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Cercle Brugge	14	4	2	8	-8	14
16	Eupen	12	2	5	5	-6	11
17	Waasland-Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11
18	Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	3	1	+18	33
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+4	25
3	Charleroi	13	5	7	1	+12	22
4	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+4	19
5	St Truiden	14	6	0	8	-11	18
6	Genk	14	4	4	6	+1	16
7	Standard	14	4	4	6	-1	16
8	Waregem	14	4	4	6	-9	16
9	Eupen	14	5	1	8	-11	16
10	Anderlecht	12	3	5	4	-2	14
11	Gent	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	Mouscron	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Waasland-Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
15	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Kortrijk	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Oostende	13	1	1	11	-20	4
18	Cercle Brugge	12	0	2	10	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.