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Pro League

Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Charleroi

U S U U T

4–0

Full-time

Waregem

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

52%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

37%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 7

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Charleroi 3. · Waregem 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	20	6	1	+44	66
2	Gent	28	16	7	5	+28	55
3	Charleroi	27	14	9	4	+24	51
4	Antwerp	27	15	6	6	+20	51
5	Standard	28	14	6	8	+18	48
6	Genk	28	14	5	9	+11	47
7	Waregem	27	12	5	10	+10	41
8	Mechelen	26	12	5	9	-1	41
9	Anderlecht	28	9	12	7	+4	39
10	St Truiden	28	9	6	13	-13	33
11	Eupen	27	8	6	13	-16	30
12	Mouscron	24	6	9	9	-4	27
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	24	6	9	9	-4	27
14	Kortrijk	27	7	5	15	-11	26
15	Oostende	27	6	4	17	-23	22
16	Waasland-Beveren	24	5	5	14	-29	20
17	Beveren	24	5	5	14	-29	20
18	Cercle Brugge	27	4	4	19	-29	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	15	12	3	0	+28	39
2	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+26	33
3	Standard	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Antwerp	12	10	2	0	+17	32
5	Genk	14	10	1	3	+10	31
6	Charleroi	13	9	2	2	+13	29
7	Waregem	13	8	1	4	+19	25
8	Anderlecht	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	Kortrijk	15	5	3	7	+1	18
10	Oostende	14	5	3	6	-3	18
11	Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Mechelen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	St Truiden	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Eupen	13	3	5	5	-5	14
16	Cercle Brugge	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Waasland-Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11
18	Beveren	12	3	2	7	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	10	3	1	+18	33
2	Mechelen	13	8	1	4	+4	25
3	Charleroi	14	5	7	2	+11	22
4	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+3	19
5	St Truiden	15	6	0	9	-12	18
6	Genk	14	4	4	6	+1	16
7	Gent	13	4	4	5	+0	16
8	Standard	14	4	4	6	-1	16
9	Waregem	14	4	4	6	-9	16
10	Eupen	14	5	1	8	-11	16
11	Anderlecht	13	3	6	4	-2	15
12	Mouscron	12	2	4	6	-7	10
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Waasland-Beveren	12	2	3	7	-15	9
15	Beveren	12	2	3	7	-15	9
16	Kortrijk	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Oostende	13	1	1	11	-20	4
18	Cercle Brugge	13	0	2	11	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.