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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Club Brugge
U T U S U
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 60%
65%
54%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
68%
65%
Both score Ø 61%
49%
73%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Genk 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 37 24 8 5 +48 80
2 Genk 37 20 11 6 +32 71
3 Mechelen 38 19 9 10 +14 66
4 Antwerp 37 19 9 9 +13 66
5 Gent 38 19 7 12 +30 64
6 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
7 Oostende 38 16 8 14 +5 56
8 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
9 Anderlecht 37 11 20 6 +14 53
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 38 13 9 16 -3 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Genk
H. Vanaken
penalty missed
34′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Munoz
↦ A. Preciado
46′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ L. Oyen
58′
🔁 J. Ito
↦ B. Toma
58′
🔁 K. Thorstvedt
↦ J. Uronen
61′
B. Toma 0–1
A. Preciado
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ T. Chong
66′
M. Rits 🔁
↦ E. Balanta
67′
I. Van der Brempt 🔁
↦ Clinton Mata
67′
E. Sobol 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 P. Hrosovsky
↦ K. Eboue
N. Mbamba 🔁
↦ S. Denswil
78′
1–1 R. Vormer
T. Chong
80′
H. Vanaken 🔁
↦ B. Dost
85′
85′
C. Dessers 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-4-2
22 Ethan Horvath G
28 Ignace Van der Brempt D
5 Odilon Kossounou D
44 Brandon Mechele D
2 Eduard Sobol D
25 Ruud Vormer M
72 Noah Mbamba M
26 Mats Rits M
20 Hans Vanaken M
90 Charles De Ketelaere F
27 Youssouph Badji F
Bench (7)
91 Senne Lammens
15 Matej Mitrović
77 Clinton Mata
24 Stefano Denswil
3 Éder Balanta
7 Tahith Chong
29 Bas Dost

Coach: P. Clement

Genk

4-3-3
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G
23 Daniel Muñoz D
2 Mark McKenzie D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
5 Gerardo Arteaga D
8 Bryan Heynen M
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M
17 Patrik Hrošovský M
7 Junya Ito F
9 Cyriel Dessers F
10 Theo Bongonda F
Bench (7)
40 Tobe Leysen
77 Ángelo Preciado
21 Jere Uronen
38 Kouassi Eboue
14 Bastien Toma
24 Luca Oyen
18 Paul Onuachu

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U
3,77
B ✓
5,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.