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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Anderlecht
U U T S U
4–1
Full-time
Waregem
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 30/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
40%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
60%
62%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
26 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Anderlecht 10. · Waregem 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +45 65
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 34 17 4 13 +2 55
4 Genk 30 14 10 6 +18 52
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 14 10 10 +4 52
6 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
7 Mechelen 29 14 7 8 +6 49
8 Oostende 28 13 6 9 +9 45
9 Eupen 35 10 15 10 -6 45
10 Anderlecht 30 9 16 5 +11 43
11 Charleroi 33 11 10 12 +1 43
12 Gent 29 12 6 11 +13 42
13 Kortrijk 34 12 6 16 -6 42
14 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
15 Cercle Brugge 34 12 2 20 -10 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Mouscron 31 7 9 15 -19 30
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 31 7 9 15 -19 30
19 Waasland-Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25
20 Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Waregem
5′
J. Vossen 0–1
O. Deschacht
7′
ℹ️ Jelle Vossen
VAR: Penalty confirmed
21′
🟨 Ibrahima Seck
26′
🟥 Damien Marcq
1–1 A. El Hadj
A. Trebel
32′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 G. Bruno
↦ Y. Sylla
2–1 M. Murillo
47′
3–1 Y. Verschaeren
A. Trebel
54′
69′
🔁 M. De Smet
↦ J. Dompé
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
70′
J. Cullen 🔁
↦ A. Trebel
70′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ M. Ashimeru
70′
Josh Cullen 🟨
75′
A. Diaby 🔁
↦ L. Nmecha
83′
Josh Cullen 🟨
85′
Josh Cullen 🟥
85′
86′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ J. Van Hecke
M. Kana 🔁
↦ A. El Hadj
89′
4–1 A. Diaby
M. Kana
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
1 T. Wellenreuther G
20 M. Miazga D
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
62 M. Murillo D
54 K. Sardella D
25 A. Trebel M
18 M. Ashimeru M
48 A. Lokonga M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
46 A. El Hadj M
7 L. Nmecha F
Bench (7)
11 J. Bruun Larsen
8 J. Cullen
40 F. Amuzu
23 A. Diaby
55 M. Kana
12 P. Mukairu
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

Waregem

3-5-2
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
4 D. Opare M
33 C. Humphreys D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
67 J. Van Hecke M
9 J. Vossen F
17 J. Dompé M
80 Y. Sylla F
Bench (7)
19 G. Bruno
29 M. De Smet
15 T. Chorý
24 E. Pletinckx
1 S. Bossut
43 N. Kainourgios
23 P. Armenakas

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,14
B
5,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.