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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

St Truiden

T S S T T

1–2

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,8

Scored

0,8

3,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,2

This season — Pro League · 17/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

35%

79%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

53%

79%

Both score Ø 58%

59%

57%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,9

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 6

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 11. · St. Gilloise 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+26	34
2	Anderlecht	14	7	6	1	+16	27
3	Antwerp	14	8	2	4	+9	26
4	Club Brugge	13	7	4	2	+7	25
5	Kortrijk	17	6	7	4	+3	25
6	Genk	15	7	3	5	+10	24
7	Charleroi	14	6	5	3	+7	23
8	Mechelen	15	7	2	6	-1	23
9	Standard	17	6	5	6	-7	23
10	Eupen	17	6	4	7	+1	22
11	St Truiden	17	6	3	8	-8	21
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	4	8	5	-6	20
13	Oostende	17	6	2	9	-15	20
14	Gent	14	5	4	5	+5	19
15	Seraing	16	6	1	9	-7	19
16	Seraing United	16	6	1	9	-7	19
17	Waregem	17	4	5	8	-14	17
18	Cercle Brugge	17	3	4	10	-7	13
19	Beerschot VA	17	3	3	11	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	6	0	1	+13	18
2	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Mechelen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+13	15
5	Kortrijk	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Genk	8	4	2	2	+9	14
7	Gent	6	4	1	1	+8	13
8	Club Brugge	7	3	4	0	+6	13
9	Seraing	8	4	1	3	+4	13
10	Seraing United	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Oostende	8	3	1	4	-9	10
13	Eupen	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Beerschot VA	9	3	0	6	-2	9
15	Standard	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Charleroi	6	2	2	2	+3	8
17	St Truiden	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Waregem	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Cercle Brugge	9	1	2	6	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	5	1	1	+13	16
2	Charleroi	8	4	3	1	+4	15
3	Standard	9	4	2	3	-4	14
4	Eupen	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	St Truiden	9	4	1	4	-4	13
6	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Club Brugge	6	4	0	2	+1	12
8	Antwerp	7	3	1	3	+2	10
9	Genk	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Kortrijk	9	2	4	3	-2	10
11	Oostende	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Waregem	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Cercle Brugge	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	5	2	-4	8
15	Mechelen	7	2	1	4	-6	7
16	Gent	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Seraing	8	2	0	6	-11	6
18	Seraing United	8	2	0	6	-11	6
19	Beerschot VA	8	0	3	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.