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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Eupen
T S S S T
2–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 12/9 matches
Win Ø 64%
50%
78%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
75%
78%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 4. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 9 7 1 1 +15 22
2 Kortrijk 13 6 3 4 +3 21
3 Genk 11 6 2 3 +9 20
4 Eupen 12 6 2 4 +6 20
5 Antwerp 11 6 2 3 +6 20
6 Oostende 13 6 2 5 -3 20
7 Anderlecht 10 5 4 1 +12 19
8 Club Brugge 9 5 3 1 +6 18
9 Standard 13 5 3 5 -6 18
10 Charleroi 10 4 5 1 +9 17
11 Mechelen 11 5 2 4 -1 17
12 St Truiden 11 4 3 4 -2 15
13 Waregem 13 3 4 6 -11 13
14 Seraing 12 4 0 8 -8 12
15 Seraing United 12 4 0 8 -8 12
16 Gent 9 3 2 4 +4 11
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -8 10
18 Cercle Brugge 13 2 3 8 -7 9
19 Beerschot VA 11 0 2 9 -16 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen St. Gilloise
7′
D. Undav 0–1
21′
🟨 Christian Burgess
23′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
29′
T. Teuma 0–2
D. Undav
Half-time 0–2
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ A. Beck
67′
S. Keita 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
67′
68′
🟨 Deniz Undav
74′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ L. Lapoussin
1–2 E. Kayembe
75′
2–2 E. Agbadou
Jordi Amat
78′
79′
C. Nielsen 2–3
D. Vanzeir
Leonardo Rocha 🔁
↦ I. Nuhu
81′
J. Déom 🔁
↦ J. Cools
81′
B. Lambert 🔁
↦ S. Keita
84′
88′
🔁 M. Sorinola
↦ D. Undav
91′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ D. Vanzeir
91′
🔁 G. François
↦ K. Mitoma
Jordi Amat 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
30 R. Himmelmann G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
22 E. Agbadou D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
29 I. Nuhu M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
11 K. N’Dri
13 S. Keita
19 Leonardo Rocha
14 J. Déom
35 B. Lambert
33 A. Nurudeen
6 B. Poulain

Coach: S. Krämer

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
25 D. Marcq
7 M. Sorinola
90 F. Avenatti
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
4 J. Bager
24 I. Ziani

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,81
U
3,85
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.