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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
St Truiden
U U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Standard
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
46%
40%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
49%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 6. · Standard 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +49 70
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Anderlecht 29 18 8 3 +47 62
4 Antwerp 30 19 5 6 +22 62
5 Gent 29 15 8 6 +21 53
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 29 14 7 8 +11 49
8 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
9 Genk 29 14 5 10 +23 47
10 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
11 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 35 10 9 16 -16 39
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Standard
1–0 T. Hara
S. Kagawa
22′
27′
🟨 Renaud Emond
2–0 D. Hayashi
T. Leistner
28′
34′
🟨 Nathan Ngoy
Ameen Al-Dakhil 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Çanak
↦ N. Ngoy
46′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ R. Emond
64′
🔁 B. Ghalidi
↦ A. Tapsoba
64′
🔁 J. Van Damme
↦ D. Pavlović
R. Reitz 🔁
↦ S. Kagawa
65′
67′
🟨 Moussa Sissako
Christian Brüls 🟨
73′
João Klauss 🔁
↦ T. Hara
76′
3–0 João Klauss
D. Hashioka
77′
Jorge Teixeira 🔁
↦ M. Konaté
85′
N. Balongo 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
85′
M. Delorge-Knieper 🔁
↦ C. Brüls
86′
87′
🔁 N. Kinsiona
↦ G. Cimirot
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-1-4-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
4 D. Hashioka M
3 A. Al Dakhil D
10 S. Kagawa M
44 C. Brüls M
6 M. Konaté M
14 A. Koita M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
8 R. Reitz
9 João Klauss
26 Jorge Teixeira
30 N. Balongo
66 M. Delorge-Knieper
31 A. Russo
85 A. Dony

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Standard

3-4-3
30 L. Henkinet G
6 N. Dussenne D
5 M. Sissako D
14 N. Nkounkou M
33 N. Ngoy M
35 L. Noubi D
8 G. Cimirot M
4 D. Pavlović M
18 R. Emond F
7 D. Drăguş F
23 A. Tapsoba F
Bench (7)
38 C. Çanak
10 M. Carcela-González
32 B. Ghalidi
13 J. Van Damme
36 N. Kinsiona
16 A. Bodart
31 A. Calut

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,61
B
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.