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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Charleroi
U T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Anderlecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
7 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
8 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Anderlecht 17 7 2 8 +7 23
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
12 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
16 Oostende 19 5 3 11 -20 18
17 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Anderlecht
21′
🔁 M. N'Diaye
↦ Z. Debast
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Kristian Arnstad
Ken Nkuba 🟨
49′
Ahmed Nadhir Benbouali 🟨
52′
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ A. Benbouali
64′
71′
🔁 A. Diawara
↦ K. Arnstad
71′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ M. Stroeykens
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
80′
80′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ Fábio Silva
80′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ A. Trébel
A. Hosseinzadeh 🔁
↦ R. Morioka
81′
85′
A. Zorgane 1–0
own goal
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ D. Marcq
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

5-4-1
16 H. Koffi G
28 K. Nkuba D
2 J. Bager D
25 D. Marcq D
32 M. Boukamir D
12 J. Kayembe D
18 D. Heymans M
44 R. Morioka M
6 A. Zorgane M
45 A. Benbouali M
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
8 A. Gholizadeh
10 Y. Badji
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
15 A. Descotte
1 P. Patron
31 M. Wasinski
21 S. Andreou

Coach: F. Mazzù

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
3 H. Delcroix D
61 K. Arnstad
25 A. Trébel M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
29 M. Stroeykens F
99 Fábio Silva F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (7)
5 M. N'Diaye
21 A. Diawara
18 M. Ashimeru
9 B. Raman
46 A. Ait El Hadj
26 C. Coosemans
32 N. Angulo

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,59
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.