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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Anderlecht
U S S U U
0–2
Full-time
Genk
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
This season — Pro League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 69%
44%
93%
Points per game
1,4
2,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
63%
79%
Both score Ø 60%
56%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,9
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 15 12 2 1 +17 38
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 8 4 6 +9 28
6 Gent 14 8 2 4 +11 26
7 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
8 Cercle Brugge 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Anderlecht 16 7 2 7 +9 23
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
12 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
13 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
14 Oostende 18 5 3 10 -17 18
15 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Eupen 18 5 1 12 -16 16
17 Kortrijk 17 4 3 10 -14 15
18 Seraing 17 3 2 12 -17 11
19 Seraing United 17 3 2 12 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
15′
🟨 Patrik Hrošovský
19′
P. Onuachu 0–1
D. Muñoz
Moussa N'Diaye 🟨
25′
28′
🟨 Carlos Cuesta
A. Murillo 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
35′
Half-time 0–1
Adrien Trebel 🟨
48′
53′
G. Arteaga 0–2
J. Paintsil
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
65′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ A. Trébel
65′
B. Raman 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
72′
L. Lissens 🔁
↦ N. Sadiki
73′
73′
🔁 M. Galarza
↦ B. El Khannouss
74′
🟥 Gerardo Arteaga
79′
🔁 A. Preciado
↦ M. Trésor
86′
🟨 Mark McKenzie
89′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ P. Onuachu
90′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ J. Paintsil
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
27 N. Sadiki D
56 Z. Debast D
3 H. Delcroix D
5 M. N'Diaye D
61 K. Arnstad
11 L. Refaelov M
25 A. Trébel M
10 Y. Verschaeren F
99 Fábio Silva F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (7)
62 A. Murillo
29 M. Stroeykens
18 M. Ashimeru
9 B. Raman
47 L. Lissens
26 C. Coosemans
21 A. Diawara

Coach: R. Veldman

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
25 M. Galarza
77 A. Preciado
35 A. Németh
7 M. Samatta
40 T. Leysen
27 M. Didden
10 N. Castro

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U
3,45
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.