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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

Mechelen

S T T T T

0–0

Full-time

Genk

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

51%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

54%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 9. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	35	25	6	4	+43	81
2	St. Gilloise	35	25	5	5	+55	80
3	Anderlecht	35	21	9	5	+49	72
4	Gent	35	20	8	7	+31	68
5	Antwerp	35	19	6	10	+14	63
6	Genk	35	18	6	11	+27	60
7	Charleroi	35	16	8	11	+11	56
8	St Truiden	36	16	6	14	+2	54
9	Mechelen	35	15	5	15	-5	50
10	Cercle Brugge	36	13	9	14	+4	48
11	Kortrijk	36	11	10	15	-1	43
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	10	12	14	-13	42
13	Oostende	36	11	8	17	-26	41
14	Standard	36	10	9	17	-19	39
15	Waregem	36	9	8	19	-30	35
16	Eupen	36	8	9	19	-25	33
17	Seraing United	36	9	5	22	-37	32
18	Seraing	34	8	4	22	-38	28
19	Beerschot VA	36	5	4	27	-41	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Anderlecht	18	11	5	2	+25	38
3	Genk	18	11	3	4	+23	36
4	Gent	17	11	3	3	+23	36
5	St. Gilloise	17	11	3	3	+21	36
6	Mechelen	17	11	2	4	+13	35
7	Antwerp	18	9	4	5	+6	31
8	Charleroi	18	8	5	5	+9	29
9	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	+5	27
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	7	4	7	-2	25
12	Kortrijk	18	6	4	8	+1	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Seraing United	18	5	4	9	-14	19
15	Oostende	18	5	4	9	-18	19
16	Seraing	17	5	3	9	-14	18
17	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	18	3	5	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	18	14	2	2	+34	44
2	Club Brugge	18	13	2	3	+23	41
3	Anderlecht	17	10	4	3	+24	34
4	Antwerp	17	10	2	5	+8	32
5	Gent	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Charleroi	17	8	3	6	+2	27
7	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
8	Standard	18	7	4	7	-7	25
9	Genk	17	7	3	7	+4	24
10	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Oostende	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Kortrijk	18	5	6	7	-2	21
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	8	7	-11	17
14	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Mechelen	18	4	3	11	-18	15
16	Waregem	18	3	4	11	-22	13
17	Seraing United	18	4	1	13	-23	13
18	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
19	Beerschot VA	18	0	3	15	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.