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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
Westerlo
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 19/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
68%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
59%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
26 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Westerlo 14. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 19 15 3 1 +23 48
3 Antwerp 19 14 2 3 +22 44
4 Gent 19 11 3 5 +17 36
5 Club Brugge 19 10 5 4 +15 35
6 St Truiden 23 9 7 7 +0 34
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 9 6 8 +8 33
8 Anderlecht 23 10 3 10 +7 33
9 Cercle Brugge 19 8 6 5 +4 30
10 Standard 20 9 3 8 +1 30
11 Charleroi 22 9 3 10 -5 30
12 Kortrijk 24 8 3 13 -16 27
13 Mechelen 22 7 4 11 -9 25
14 Westerlo 19 6 5 8 -1 23
15 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -15 23
16 Eupen 24 7 2 15 -19 23
17 Oostende 24 5 3 16 -27 18
18 Seraing 22 4 3 15 -19 15
19 Seraing United 22 4 3 15 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Mechelen
1–0 K. Vaesen
L. Van Eenoo
22′
Igor Vetokele 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ F. Soelle Soelle
46′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ A. Van Hoorenbeeck
52′
🟨 Birger Verstraete
Nicolas Madsen 🟨
53′
2–0 K. Vaesen
R. Tagir
56′
M. Fixelles 🔁
↦ T. Van den Keybus
65′
E. Jordanov 🔁
↦ K. Vaesen
65′
68′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
76′
🔁 B. Bafdili
↦ J. Van Hecke
76′
🔁 G. Engvall
↦ K. Mrabti
77′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
77′
🟥 Dimitri Lavalėe
83′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ Y. Malede
M. Gümüşkaya 🔁
↦ N. Dorgeles
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-4-2
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
45 N. Dorgeles M
8 N. Madsen M
7 L. Van Eenoo M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
5 N. Chadli F
14 K. Vaesen F
Bench (7)
25 Igor Vetokele
4 M. Fixelles
32 E. Jordanov
17 M. Gümüşkaya
20 N. Gillekens
23 R. Seigers
55 T. Dierckx

Coach: J. De Roeck

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
14 D. Lavalée D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
6 J. Van Hecke M
66 B. Verstraete M
16 R. Schoofs M
19 K. Mrabti F
28 F. Soelle Soelle F
10 Y. Malede F
Bench (7)
9 J. Ngoy
30 J. Vanlerberghe
35 B. Bafdili
20 G. Engvall
34 N. Mukau
40 J. Amuzu
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,63
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.