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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Gent

S S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Club Brugge

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

5,3

Scored

3,0

4,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+3,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/4 matches

Win Ø 88%

100%

75%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

3,0

3,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,22 xG 1,00

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.8	12
2	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+12	+7.8	10
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.1	9
4	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
5	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-3	-6.1	7
6	RWD Molenbeek	5	2	1	2	-8	-3.7	7
7	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
9	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
11	Standard	5	0	3	2	-2	-5.2	3
12	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
13	Charleroi	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.7	3
14	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.9	1
15	Kortrijk	5	0	1	4	-11	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	+3.6	4
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
6	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.0	4
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
8	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
9	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
10	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.2	6
3	RWD Molenbeek	3	1	1	1	-5	-1.1	4
4	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
5	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	Eupen	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
8	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
9	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
10	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
13	Charleroi	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.