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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 8. · Utrecht 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heracles 3 2 0 1 +6 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Den Haag 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Vitesse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Groningen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Excelsior 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Willem II 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Twente 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Cambuur 3 0 1 2 -7 1
18 De Graafschap 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Utrecht
3′
🟨 Timo Letschert
30′
S. Haller 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Jansen 🔁
↦ T. Kristensen
46′
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ T. Derijck
46′
51′
🟨 Louis Nganioni
Ruben Schaken 🟨
54′
66′
🔁 Y. Cortie
↦ L. Nganioni
G. Korte 🔁
↦ R. Alberg
73′
77′
🔁 R. Rubin
↦ N. Barazite
88′
🔁 M. Diemers
↦ B. Ramselaar
1–1 M. Havenaar
A. Meijers
89′
Edouard Duplan 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

1 M. Hansen G
4 T. Derijck D
8 A. Meijers D
3 V. Wormgoor D
2 D. Malone M
6 T. Kristensen M
23 R. Alberg M
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
20 R. Schaken F
Bench (7)
7 K. Jansen
25 T. Beugelsdijk
14 G. Korte
12 K. Gorré
22 R. Zwinkels
28 T. Ebuehi
33 G. Kastaneer

Utrecht

1 R. Ruiter G
5 C. Kum D
2 M. van der Maarel D
20 L. Nganioni D
14 T. Letschert D
8 W. Janssen D
6 Y. Ayoub M
17 S. Klaiber D
23 B. Ramselaar M
10 N. Barazite M
22 S. Haller F
Bench (7)
24 Y. Cortie
18 R. Rubin
15 M. Diemers
7 R. Strieder
11 A. Ludwig
16 F. Bednarek
21 K. Peterson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.