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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Watford
U U
0–0
Full-time
Southampton
U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 14. · Southampton 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 West Brom 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Southampton
25′
🔁 S. Long
↦ S. Mané
28′
🟨 Victor Wanyama
Half-time 0–0
A. Diamanti 🔁
↦ J. Holebas
46′
57′
🟨 Oriol Romeu
72′
🔁 J. Ward-Prowse
↦ S. Davis
79′
🔁 J. Rodriguez
↦ G. Pellè
B. Watson 🔁
↦ V. Behrami
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Watford

1 Gomes G
5 S. Prödl D
25 J. Holebas D
2 A. Nyom D
15 C. Cathcart D
8 V. Behrami M
7 Jurado M
29 E. Capoue M
21 I. Anya M
24 O. Ighalo M
9 T. Deeney F
Bench (7)
32 A. Diamanti
23 B. Watson
3 M. Britos
11 F. Forestieri
19 M. Layún
22 A. Abdi
34 G. Arlauskis

Southampton

22 M. Stekelenburg G
3 M. Yoshida D
6 José Fonte D
26 S. Caulker D
2 Cédric Soares M
33 M. Targett M
8 S. Davis F
12 V. Wanyama M
14 Oriol Romeu M
10 S. Mané F
19 G. Pellè F
Bench (7)
7 S. Long
16 J. Ward-Prowse
9 J. Rodriguez
1 K. Davis
11 D. Tadić
15 R. Martina
20 Juanmi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.