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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Anderlecht

S S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Charleroi

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 33%

42%

23%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

33%

38%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

54%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,45 xG 1,48

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 5. · Charleroi 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	4	0	+21	+16.4	31
2	Club Brugge	13	10	1	2	+13	+5.3	31
3	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	St Truiden	11	7	2	2	+5	+10.5	23
5	Anderlecht	12	5	4	3	+3	+3.5	19
6	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
7	Waregem	14	5	3	6	-2	-7.8	18
8	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+1	+5.2	17
9	Antwerp	13	4	4	5	+0	-2.9	16
10	Standard	14	4	3	7	-9	-7.8	15
11	Cercle Brugge	16	3	5	8	-4	+2.0	14
12	RAAL La Louviere	14	3	4	7	-6	-8.7	13
13	Genk	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.3	12
14	Charleroi	13	3	3	7	-5	-1.6	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.9	12
16	Dender	15	1	3	11	-19	-11.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Westerlo	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.2	11
6	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
7	Antwerp	8	2	3	3	+0	+0.4	9
8	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
9	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
10	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	6	2	1	3	-2	+3.1	7
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-5	+1.8	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-1	-1.1	5
15	Standard	6	0	3	3	-5	-1.3	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-6.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	7	3	4	0	+5	+7.4	13
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+4	+6.2	11
6	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	+1	+0.2	8
8	Waregem	7	2	2	3	-3	-5.0	8
9	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
10	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
12	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
13	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	2	5	-5	-4.5	5
15	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.