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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Charleroi

S T U S T

1–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 53%

25%

80%

Points per game

0,9

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,16 xG 1,35

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 14. · St. Gilloise 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+11	+5.7	28
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
3	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
5	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
6	Anderlecht	11	5	3	3	+3	+4.6	18
7	Waregem	13	5	3	5	+0	-7.5	18
8	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+0	-4.0	15
9	Westerlo	12	3	5	4	+0	+5.3	14
10	RAAL La Louviere	13	3	4	6	-5	-8.8	13
11	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-4	-2.5	12
13	Standard	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.2	12
14	Charleroi	12	3	2	7	-5	-1.4	11
15	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-6	+2.1	10
16	Dender	14	1	3	10	-18	-12.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Westerlo	5	2	2	1	+5	+5.3	8
7	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
8	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
9	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
10	Charleroi	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.2	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	+1	-0.7	5
14	Cercle Brugge	9	1	2	6	-5	+2.4	5
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	6	0	1	5	-10	-7.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.3	15
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	+0	+0.1	10
5	Standard	7	3	0	4	-5	-5.6	9
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Waregem	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
8	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
9	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
11	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
12	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
13	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	2	4	-4	-4.7	5
15	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.