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Pro League

Referee: Nicolas Laforge

Mechelen

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Charleroi

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

45%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

27%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,91 xG 0,97

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Charleroi 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+7	+3.4	25
3	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
4	Gent	9	6	1	2	+5	+2.4	19
5	Mechelen	11	5	4	2	+5	-2.9	19
6	Anderlecht	10	5	3	2	+7	+7.1	18
7	Waregem	12	5	2	5	+0	-6.5	17
8	RAAL La Louviere	13	3	4	6	-5	-8.8	13
9	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
10	Antwerp	11	3	3	5	-2	-4.7	12
11	Standard	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.2	12
12	Westerlo	11	2	5	4	-4	+2.9	11
13	Charleroi	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.5	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-4	-3.5	11
15	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-5	+1.7	10
16	Dender	13	1	3	9	-14	-10.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
7	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
8	Charleroi	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.2	8
9	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
10	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
11	Westerlo	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.9	5
12	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-4	+1.9	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	1	3	+1	-1.7	4
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	5	0	1	4	-6	-4.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	7	4	2	1	+5	-3.1	14
2	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.6	10
5	Standard	7	3	0	4	-5	-5.6	9
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.7	7
8	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
10	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
11	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
12	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
13	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	2	4	-4	-4.7	5
14	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
15	Antwerp	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.9	4
16	Charleroi	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.