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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Anderlecht
U S S S U
0–0
Full-time
Charleroi
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
75%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 1,09
57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 8. · Charleroi 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 6 4 0 2 +6 +4.7 12
2 Dender 6 3 2 1 +4 +0.9 11
3 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +6 +6.1 10
4 Genk 5 3 1 1 +1 +8.3 10
5 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +6 +1.4 9
6 Gent 5 3 0 2 +4 -0.6 9
7 St. Gilloise 6 2 3 1 +2 +4.3 9
8 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +3 +2.7 8
9 Standard 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.9 8
10 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.5 7
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 1 3 1 +1 +0.9 6
12 St Truiden 6 1 2 3 -8 -5.2 5
13 Mechelen 4 1 1 2 -3 -2.1 4
14 Kortrijk 5 1 0 4 -7 -1.7 3
15 Cercle Brugge 4 0 1 3 -7 -9.3 1
16 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -8 -7.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
21′
🟨 Antoine Bernier
Half-time 0–0
Moussa N'Diaye 🟨
50′
59′
🟨 Parfait Guiagon
61′
🔁 A. Flips
↦ A. Bernier
Samuel Edozie 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 I. Mbenza
↦ P. Guiagon
71′
🟨 Jeremy Petris
71′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ G. Kyei
T. Leoni 🔁
↦ M. Rits
72′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
72′
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
78′
Killian Sardella 🟨
82′
Zanka 🟨
86′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ S. Edozie
86′
T. Foket 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
32 L. Dendoncker M
23 M. Rits M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
29 M. Stroeykens M
27 S. Edozie M
12 K. Dolberg F
Bench (9)
17 T. Leoni
7 F. Amuzu
20 L. Vázquez
19 N. Angulo
25 T. Foket
83 T. Degreef
16 M. Kikkenborg
18 M. Ashimeru
78 A. Tajaouart

Coach: D. Hubert

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Koné G
98 J. Pétris D
4 Aiham Ousou D
21 S. Andreou D
15 V. Dragsnes D
6 A. Zorgane M
5 É. Camara M
17 A. Bernier M
18 D. Heymans M
8 P. Guiagon M
99 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
70 A. Flips
7 I. Mbenza
80 Y. Sylla
29 Ž. Rogelj
22 Y. Titraoui
95 C. Keita
9 Oday Dabbagh
24 M. Nzita
33 T. Defourny

Coach: R. De Mil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,60
B
3,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.