La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elche
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
31 | 22 | 6 | 3 | +37 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 16 | 12 | 3 | +22 | 60 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | +28 | 57 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | +19 | 57 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 56 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +1 | 51 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +6 | 45 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 41 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 39 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 |
Vallecano
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |
Elche
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | -17 | 28 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
| 20 |
Alaves
|
31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -29 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Mojica
D
Fidel
M
Gumbau
M
Pere Milla
F
Tete Morente
M
Coach: Francisco
Álex Remiro
G
Diego Rico
D
R. Le Normand
D
Mikel Merino
M
Zubeldía
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
A. Sørloth
F
A. Isak
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Elche
Elche
Valencia
Granada
Elche
Elche
Barcelona
Levante
Elche
Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.