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La Liga
Referee: J Guzman
Sociedad
U S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Elche
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 75%
82%
68%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,63 xG 1,27
34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Elche 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 19 1 3 +40 +30.0 58
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 +29 +28.0 54
3 Ath Madrid 22 13 6 3 +21 +10.5 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 +16 +6.9 42
5 Betis 22 9 8 5 +8 +6.3 35
6 Espanol 22 10 4 8 -1 +3.2 34
7 Celta 23 8 9 6 +5 +1.3 33
8 Osasuna 23 8 5 10 +0 -4.1 29
9 Sociedad 22 7 7 8 +0 -0.5 28
10 Alaves 22 7 4 11 -7 -2.6 25
11 Ath Bilbao 22 7 4 11 -10 +5.2 25
12 Girona 22 6 7 9 -15 -12.1 25
13 Elche 22 5 9 8 -2 -15.7 24
14 Sevilla 22 7 3 12 -8 -11.3 24
15 Mallorca 23 6 6 11 -9 -13.0 24
16 Getafe 22 6 5 11 -11 -7.0 23
17 Valencia 22 5 8 9 -12 -1.1 23
18 Vallecano 22 5 7 10 -12 +0.0 22
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 -10 -7.6 18
20 Oviedo 22 3 7 12 -22 -16.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Elche
7′
🟨 David Affengruber
1–0 L. Sucic
G. Guedes
24′
B. Turrientes 🔁
↦ L. Sucic
29′
2–0 M. Oyarzabal
37′
42′
Andre Silva 2–1
Half-time 2–1
49′
🟨 Aleix Febas
Pablo Marín ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
55′
🔁 M. Aguado
↦ M. Neto
55′
🔁 A. Pedrosa
↦ J. Donald
65′
🟨 Grady Diangana
J. Aramburu 🔁
↦ A. Odriozola
65′
J. Ochieng 🔁
↦ G. Guedes
65′
72′
🔁 P. Bigas
↦ V. Chust
73′
🔁 L. Cepeda
↦ L. Petrot
79′
🔁 G. Villar
↦ G. Diangana
O. Oskarsson 🔁
↦ M. Oyarzabal
82′
Y. Herrera 🔁
↦ C. Soler
82′
87′
🟨 Gonzalo Villar
3–1 O. Oskarsson
J. Gorrotxategi
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 A. Remiro G
20 A. Odriozola D
5 I. Zubeldia D
16 D. Caleta-Car D
17 S. Gomez D
11 G. Guedes M
4 J. Gorrotxategi M
18 C. Soler M
15 P. Marin M
24 L. Sucic F
10 M. Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
32 A. Fraga
2 J. Aramburu
3 A. Munoz
6 A. Elustondo
8 B. Turrientes
9 O. Oskarsson
12 Y. Herrera
19 J. Karrikaburu
22 Wesley
26 D. Diaz
31 J. Martin
47 J. Ochieng

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

Elche

3-1-4-2
13 I. Pena G
22 D. Affengruber D
23 V. Chust D
18 J. Donald D
14 A. Febas M
21 L. Petrot M
19 G. Diangana M
16 M. Neto M
11 G. Valera M
20 A. Rodriguez F
9 Andre Silva F
Bench (12)
1 M. Dituro
45 A. Iturbe
5 F. Redondo Solari
6 P. Bigas
7 Y. Santiago
8 M. Aguado
12 G. Villar
15 Tete Morente
24 L. Cepeda
31 D. Delgado
32 A. Boayar
3 A. Pedrosa

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,64
U
3,97
B
5,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Guzman · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,67 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.