La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +39 | +5.9 | 65 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +31 | +10.6 | 56 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +23 | +7.5 | 51 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +9 | +0.4 | 45 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +8 | +4.1 | 45 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +5 | +2.4 | 38 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +8 | +1.2 | 36 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +1 | -0.2 | 36 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | -2 | -7.2 | 34 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -3 | +1.9 | 34 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -5 | -3.5 | 32 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -1 | -3.2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -11 | +4.0 | 28 |
| 14 |
Cadiz
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -17 | -3.2 | 28 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -18 | -7.9 | 28 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -10 | -0.4 | 27 |
| 17 |
Valencia
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -3 | -4.0 | 26 |
| 18 |
Getafe
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -9 | -0.5 | 26 |
| 19 |
Almeria
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -15 | -3.0 | 26 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | -30 | -4.8 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álex Remiro
G
Zubeldia
D
R. Le Normand
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
T. Kubo
F
A. Sørloth
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Tete Morente
D
Clerc
D
Fidel
M
Gumbau
M
L. Boyé
F
R. Nteka
F
Coach: Pablo Machín
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Roma
Mallorca
Sociedad
Roma
Sociedad
Sociedad
Cadiz
Valencia
Sociedad
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.