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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Sociedad
T U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Elche
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
52%
8%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,96 xG 0,10
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 4. · Elche 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 21 2 2 +39 +5.9 65
2 Real Madrid 25 17 5 3 +31 +10.6 56
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 +23 +7.5 51
4 Sociedad 25 13 6 6 +9 +0.4 45
5 Betis 26 13 6 7 +8 +4.1 45
6 Villarreal 25 11 5 9 +5 +2.4 38
7 Ath Bilbao 26 10 6 10 +8 +1.2 36
8 Vallecano 26 9 9 8 +1 -0.2 36
9 Osasuna 25 9 7 9 -2 -7.2 34
10 Celta 26 9 7 10 -3 +1.9 34
11 Mallorca 26 9 5 12 -5 -3.5 32
12 Girona 26 8 7 11 -1 -3.2 31
13 Sevilla 25 7 7 11 -11 +4.0 28
14 Cadiz 26 6 10 10 -17 -3.2 28
15 Valladolid 26 8 4 14 -18 -7.9 28
16 Espanol 26 6 9 11 -10 -0.4 27
17 Valencia 26 7 5 14 -3 -4.0 26
18 Getafe 25 6 8 11 -9 -0.5 26
19 Almeria 26 7 5 14 -15 -3.0 26
20 Elche 25 2 7 16 -30 -4.8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Elche
Brais Méndez 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Kubo
David Silva
48′
61′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ R. Nteka
61′
🔁 Bigas
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
64′
Martín Zubimendi 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 José Ángel Carmona
↦ H. Palacios
76′
🔁 L. Blanco
↦ Clerc
M. Cho 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
78′
Guevara 🔁
↦ David Silva
79′
83′
🟨 Lucas Boyé
83′
🔁 Josan
↦ Fidel
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ Illarramendi
84′
2–0 Barrenetxea
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
5 Zubeldia D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
23 Brais Méndez M
21 David Silva M
4 Illarramendi M
14 T. Kubo F
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (11)
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
11 M. Cho
16 Guevara
7 Barrenetxea
15 Diego Rico
22 Beñat Turrientes
20 Jon Pacheco
45 Arana
2 Álex Sola
17 Robert Navarro
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Elche

5-3-2
13 Edgar Badia G
11 Tete Morente D
14 H. Palacios D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
4 Diego González D
23 Clerc D
16 Fidel M
21 Omar Mascarell M
20 Gumbau M
9 L. Boyé F
18 R. Nteka F
Bench (9)
19 E. Ponce
6 Bigas
40 José Ángel Carmona
2 L. Blanco
17 Josan
8 Raúl Guti
24 Pol Lirola
22 N. Fernández Mercau
1 A. Werner

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,66
B
8,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.