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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Villarreal

U S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Sevilla

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Sevilla 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+17	16
2	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+8	10
7	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Valencia	6	3	0	3	+5	9
9	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Celta	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Getafe	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Almeria	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Cadiz	6	1	0	5	-13	3
20	Elche	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.