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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Espanol
U U T T S
2–3
Full-time
Sevilla
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Sevilla 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 +10 10
3 Villarreal 4 3 1 0 +9 10
4 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Osasuna 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Ath Bilbao 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Girona 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 -1 7
12 Valencia 5 2 0 3 +2 6
13 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
14 Almeria 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Sevilla 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Elche 4 0 1 3 -8 1
19 Getafe 4 0 1 3 -9 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sevilla
1′
E. Lamela 0–1
José Ángel Carmona
Óscar Gil 🟨
13′
26′
José Ángel Carmona 0–2
29′
🟨 Erik Lamela
Joselu 🟨
42′
45′
José Ángel Carmona 0–3
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 Alex Telles
↦ M. Acuña
47′
🟨 Marcos Acuña
1–3 Joselu
49′
Vinícius Souza 🟨
57′
Dani Gómez 🔁
↦ Edu Expósito
59′
2–3 M. Braithwaite
62′
67′
🔁 T. Nianzou
↦ Óliver Torres
67′
🔁 K. Rekik
↦ Kike Salas
73′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ Joan Jordán
73′
🔁 Navas
↦ José Ángel Carmona
Rubén Sánchez 🔁
↦ Óscar Gil
76′
84′
🟨 Erik Lamela
84′
🟥 Erik Lamela
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Javi Puado
87′
O. El Hilali 🔁
↦ Rubén Sánchez
88′
94′
🟨 Fernando
96′
🟨 Youssef En-Nesyri
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
25 Álvaro Fernández G
2 Óscar Gil D
24 Sergi Gómez D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
20 Edu Expósito M
12 Vinicius Souza M
7 Javi Puado M
10 Darder M
17 M. Braithwaite M
9 Joselu F
Bench (11)
19 Dani Gómez
27 Rubén Sánchez
21 Nico Melamed
26 O. El Hilali
28 Simo
5 Fernando Calero
1 Joan García
6 Pol Lozano
31 Dani Villahermosa
8 K. Bare
13 B. Lecomte

Coach: Diego Martínez

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
30 José Ángel Carmona D
6 N. Gudelj D
29 Kike Salas D
19 M. Acuña D
8 Joan Jordán M
20 Fernando M
15 Y. En-Nesyri M
22 Isco M
21 Óliver Torres M
17 E. Lamela F
Bench (12)
3 Alex Telles
14 T. Nianzou
4 K. Rekik
10 I. Rakitić
16 Navas
18 T. Delaney
2 G. Montiel
7 Suso
11 A. Januzaj
12 Rafa Mir
5 K. Dolberg
31 Alberto Flores

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,93
U
3,24
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.