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Serie A

Referee: F Cosso

Napoli

S S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Bologna

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

2,5

Scored

3,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

78%

11%

Points per game

2,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

30 Shots 16

11 Shots on target 3

12 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Bologna 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	10	7	3	0	+10	24
2	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+15	23
3	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+16	21
4	Udinese	10	6	3	1	+9	21
5	Milan	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Roma	9	6	1	2	+3	19
7	Inter	10	6	0	4	+4	18
8	Juventus	10	4	4	2	+6	16
9	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Empoli	10	2	5	3	-2	11
11	Torino	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Salernitana	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Monza	10	3	1	6	-6	10
14	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-10	9
16	Lecce	9	1	4	4	-3	7
17	Bologna	9	1	4	4	-6	7
18	Verona	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Cremonese	10	0	4	6	-12	4
20	Sampdoria	9	0	3	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Inter	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Milan	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+8	11
5	Udinese	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Atalanta	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
8	Roma	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Spezia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
10	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Bologna	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Monza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Torino	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Empoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Lecce	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Verona	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Roma	5	3	1	1	-1	10
5	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+8	8
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Empoli	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Inter	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Juventus	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Lecce	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Monza	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-4	3
15	Salernitana	5	0	3	2	-7	3
16	Verona	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Spezia	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.