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Champions League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Man City
U T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 Sevilla – Man City 0–4

Match report

Man City Sevilla
31′
⚽ Rafa Mir 0–1
Isco
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ Marcão
Rodri 🔁
↦ J. Grealish
46′
46′
🔁 Suso
↦ P. Gómez
46′
🔁 Alex Telles
↦ M. Acuña
1–1 R. Lewis ⚽
J. Álvarez
52′
Bernardo Silva 🔁
↦ İ. Gündoğan
57′
57′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ Isco
67′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ I. Rakitić
K. De Bruyne 🔁
↦ C. Palmer
70′
J. Wilson-Esbrand 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
70′
2–1 J. Álvarez ⚽
K. De Bruyne
73′
3–1 R. Mahrez ⚽
J. Álvarez
83′
João Cancelo 🔁
↦ R. Lewis
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-3-3
18 S. Ortega G
82 R. Lewis D
3 Rúben Dias D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
21 Sergio Gómez D
80 C. Palmer M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
47 P. Foden M
26 R. Mahrez F
19 J. Álvarez F
10 J. Grealish F
Bench (9)
16 Rodri
20 Bernardo Silva
17 K. De Bruyne
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
7 João Cancelo
5 J. Stones
33 S. Carson
6 N. Aké
31 Ederson

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Sevilla

5-4-1
13 Y. Bounou G
2 G. Montiel D
30 José Ángel Carmona D
23 Marcão D
4 K. Rekik D
19 M. Acuña D
12 Rafa Mir M
18 T. Delaney M
10 I. Rakitić M
22 Isco M
24 P. Gómez F
Bench (12)
6 N. Gudelj
7 Suso
3 Alex Telles
17 E. Lamela
8 Joan Jordán
11 A. Januzaj
27 Carlos Álvarez
1 M. Dmitrović
16 Jesús Navas
5 K. Dolberg
31 Alberto Flores
29 Kike Salas

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.