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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Villarreal B
T U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Oviedo
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
62%
15%
Both score Ø 43%
54%
31%
Average goals
2,7
1,4
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 12. · Oviedo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burgos 14 7 6 1 +9 27
2 Alaves 14 7 6 1 +5 27
3 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +9 26
4 Levante 13 6 4 3 +5 22
5 Eibar 13 6 4 3 +4 22
6 Granada 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Cartagena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Andorra 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Albacete 13 5 6 2 +3 21
10 Huesca 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Sp Gijon 13 5 4 4 +1 19
12 Villarreal B 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Leganes 14 5 2 7 -1 17
14 Zaragoza 14 4 4 6 -3 16
15 Ponferradina 14 4 4 6 -6 16
16 Santander 14 3 6 5 -3 15
17 Tenerife 13 3 5 5 -2 14
18 Lugo 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Oviedo 13 3 4 6 -4 13
20 Ibiza 14 3 2 9 -12 11
21 Mirandes 13 1 6 6 -7 9
22 Malaga 13 2 3 8 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Oviedo
Antonio Pacheco 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Luismi
Half-time 0–1
52′
S. Obeng 0–1
Ángel Montoro
1–1 Arana
62′
Diego Collado 🔁
↦ Arana
65′
H. Hassan 🔁
↦ T. Ojeda
65′
Álex Forés 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
65′
76′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Borja Bastón
Abraham Rando 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 Mangel Prendes
↦ Ángel Montoro
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
88′
N. Iosifov 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
89′
Rodri Alonso 🔁
↦ Antonio Pacheco
89′
90′
🟨 Sergi Enrich
2–1 M. Fall
Alberto del Moral
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 F. Jörgensen G
2 Migue Leal D
23 M. Fall D
27 Abraham del Moral D
3 Dani Tasende D
32 T. Ojeda M
20 Antonio Pacheco M
6 Alberto del Moral M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
9 Arana F
11 Fer Niño F
Bench (11)
7 Diego Collado
14 H. Hassan
17 Álex Forés
15 N. Iosifov
26 Rodri Alonso
25 Gianni
22 T. Geralnik
24 L. Torres
35 Daniel Clavijo
18 Carlos Romero
5 Sergio Carreira

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Tomeu Nadal G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
3 Rodri Tarín D
12 Dani Calvo D
17 D. Aceves D
28 Abel Bretones M
5 Luismi Sánchez M
19 Ángel Montoro M
20 Hugo Rama M
16 S. Obeng F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
23 Sergi Enrich
31 Mangel Prendes
4 David Costas
1 Q. Braat
33 Mario Fuente
15 Oier Luengo
11 M. Flores

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,82
U
2,99
B
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.