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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Mallorca
T S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,03 xG 0,60
34% Possession 66%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 7
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 0–1 3. Jan -24 Real Madrid – Mallorca 1–0 5. Feb -23 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–0 11. Sep -22 Real Madrid – Mallorca 4–1 14. Mar -22 Mallorca – Real Madrid 0–3

Match report

Mallorca Real Madrid
13′
⚽ Rodrygo 0–1
Vinícius Júnior
Half-time 0–1
Pablo Maffeo 🟨
48′
1–1 V. Muriqi ⚽
Dani Rodríguez
53′
63′
🔁 L. Modrić
↦ A. Tchouaméni
Antonio Sánchez 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
67′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Darder
72′
C. Larin 🔁
↦ T. Asano
72′
88′
🔁 Brahim Díaz
↦ Vinícius Júnior
88′
🔁 A. Güler
↦ J. Bellingham
88′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ Dani Carvajal
Copete 🔁
↦ Omar Mascarell
93′
97′
🟥 Ferland Mendy
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-3-3
1 D. Greif G
23 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
22 J. Mojica D
10 Darder M
5 Omar Mascarell M
12 Samú Costa M
11 T. Asano F
7 V. Muriqi F
14 Dani Rodríguez F
Bench (12)
18 Antonio Sánchez
8 Manu Morlanes
17 C. Larin
6 Copete
33 D. Luna
30 Marc Domenech
4 S. Van der Heyden
3 Toni Lato
9 Abdón Prats
25 Iván Cuéllar
2 Mateu Morey
13 Leo Román

Coach: Arrasate

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
2 Dani Carvajal D
3 Éder Militão D
22 A. Rüdiger D
23 F. Mendy D
8 F. Valverde M
14 A. Tchouaméni M
5 J. Bellingham M
11 Rodrygo F
9 K. Mbappé F
7 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (11)
10 L. Modrić
21 Brahim Díaz
15 A. Güler
17 Lucas Vázquez
31 Jacobo Ramón
13 A. Lunin
20 Fran García
19 Dani Ceballos
16 Endrick
18 Jesús Vallejo
26 Fran González

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,33
🔒
U ✓
4,34
🔒
B
1,47
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,92
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.