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La Liga

Referee: Víctor García

Real Madrid

S U U S U

3–0

Full-time

Valladolid

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,14 xG 0,42

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 11. · Valladolid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.0	6
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
4	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
5	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
6	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
7	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
8	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
9	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
13	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
14	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
16	Ath Bilbao	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
17	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.5	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
6	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
9	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
12	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
13	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
3	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
6	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
9	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
10	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
13	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.