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Bundesliga
Referee: T Welz
Freiburg
T U U T S
3–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,01 xG 0,36
33% Possession 67%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Feb -24 Freiburg – Stuttgart 1–3 2. Sep -23 Stuttgart – Freiburg 5–0 11. Feb -23 Freiburg – Stuttgart 2–1 20. Aug -22 Stuttgart – Freiburg 0–1 22. Jan -22 Freiburg – Stuttgart 2–0

Match report

Freiburg Stuttgart
2′
⚽ E. Demirović 0–1
J. Leweling
1–1 L. Kübler ⚽
J. Adamu
26′
Chukwubuike Adamu 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. Doan ⚽
54′
Philipp Lienhart 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 M. Mittelstädt
↦ F. Krätzig
3–1 L. Kübler ⚽
V. Grifo
61′
L. Höler 🔁
↦ M. Röhl
63′
64′
🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
65′
🔁 J. Diehl
↦ A. Karazor
65′
🔁 A. Chase
↦ P. Stenzel
65′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ D. Undav
M. Ginter 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
73′
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ R. Doan
73′
81′
🔁 N. Woltemade
↦ C. Führich
F. Muslija 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
82′
B. Ogbus 🔁
↦ L. Kübler
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
21 F. Müller G
17 L. Kübler D
37 M. Rosenfelder D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
8 M. Eggestein M
6 P. Osterhage M
42 R. Doan M
34 M. Röhl M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (9)
9 L. Höler
28 M. Ginter
22 R. Sallai
23 F. Muslija
43 B. Ogbus
7 N. Weißhaupt
27 N. Höfler
33 J. Makengo
24 J. Huth

Coach: J. Schuster

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nübel G
15 P. Stenzel D
6 A. Stiller D
24 J. Chabot D
13 F. Krätzig D
8 E. Millot M
16 A. Karazor M
18 J. Leweling M
26 D. Undav M
27 C. Führich M
9 E. Demirović F
Bench (9)
7 M. Mittelstädt
17 J. Diehl
45 A. Chase
32 F. Rieder
11 N. Woltemade
3 R. Hendriks
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
5 Y. Keitel
1 F. Bredlow

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,50
🔒
U
3,70
🔒
B
2,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,18
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Welz · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.