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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Young Boys

T S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Luzern

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 34%

11%

56%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 5

20 Free kicks against 8

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 12. · Luzern 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	9	5	3	1	+6	+2.1	18
2	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+6	+0.4	18
3	Lugano	9	5	3	1	+5	+0.9	18
4	Servette	9	5	2	2	-2	-1.8	17
5	St. Gallen	9	4	2	3	+6	-1.2	14
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	+7	+2.4	13
7	Sion	9	3	3	3	+3	+6.0	12
8	Yverdon	9	2	3	4	-5	-5.9	9
9	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-4	+2.8	8
10	Lausanne	9	2	2	5	-6	+3.3	8
11	Winterthur	9	2	1	6	-10	-6.1	7
12	Young Boys	9	1	3	5	-6	-2.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.9	11
2	St. Gallen	5	3	1	1	+7	-0.0	10
3	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.0	10
4	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.6	10
5	Sion	5	2	3	0	+6	+7.5	9
6	Servette	4	3	0	1	-2	-2.0	9
7	Yverdon	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
8	Winterthur	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.6	7
9	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.2	6
10	Basel	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.5	6
11	Grasshoppers	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.2	5
12	Young Boys	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.9	8
2	Lugano	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
3	Servette	5	2	2	1	+0	+0.2	8
4	Basel	5	2	1	2	+7	-0.0	7
5	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
6	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
7	Young Boys	5	1	1	3	-4	+1.5	4
8	Sion	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
9	Grasshoppers	5	1	0	4	-3	-0.4	3
10	Yverdon	5	0	2	3	-5	-5.0	2
11	Lausanne	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2
12	Winterthur	4	0	0	4	-8	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.