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Champions League
Referee: R Saggi
Sturm Graz
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Girona
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 1,79
31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Girona
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🔁 Y. Asprilla
↦ Iván Martín
1–0 M. Biereth ⚽
58′
64′
🟨 Bryan Gil
T. Horvat 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouyé
65′
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
65′
67′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ D. Blind
67′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ B. Miovski
73′
🔁 J. Solís
↦ Alejandro Francés
73′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ V. Tsyhankov
J. Gorenc Stankovič 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
76′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
53 D. Khudyakov G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
8 M. Yalcouyé M
21 T. Chukwuani M
15 W. Bøving M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
19 T. Horvat
9 E. Yardımcı
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič
25 S. Hierländer
17 E. Karić
40 M. Bignetti
2 M. Johnston
23 A. Malić
5 G. Wüthrich
43 J. Hödl
38 L. Grgić
45 C. Wiener-Pucher

Coach: J. Säumel

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
16 Alejandro Francés D
15 Juanpe D
18 L. Krejčí D
17 D. Blind D
14 Oriol Romeu M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
8 V. Tsyhankov M
23 Iván Martín M
20 Bryan Gil M
19 B. Miovski F
Bench (10)
10 Y. Asprilla
11 A. Danjuma
7 C. Stuani
22 J. Solís
9 Abel Ruiz
25 Pau López
36 Ricard Artero
5 David López
28 Silvi
42 Lucas García

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.