← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Liverpool
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Real Madrid
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Liverpool Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,73 xG 1,22
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Mar -23 Real Madrid – Liverpool 1–0 21. Feb -23 Liverpool – Real Madrid 2–5

Match report

Liverpool Real Madrid
Darwin Núñez 🟨
13′
13′
🟨 Raúl Asencio
Ryan Gravenberch 🟨
17′
Alexis Mac Allister 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Mac Allister ⚽
C. Bradley
52′
56′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ A. Güler
57′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ E. Camavinga
61′
❌ Kylian Mbappé
penalty missed
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ D. Núñez
68′
69′
🟨 Ferland Mendy
Mohamed Salah ❌
penalty missed
70′
71′
🔁 Fran García
↦ F. Mendy
2–0 C. Gakpo ⚽
A. Robertson
76′
79′
🔁 Endrick
↦ L. Modrić
80′
🟨 Dani Ceballos
D. Szoboszlai 🔁
↦ C. Jones
83′
J. Gomez 🔁
↦ C. Bradley
87′
89′
🟨 Endrick
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
84 C. Bradley D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
17 C. Jones M
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 D. Núñez F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (10)
18 C. Gakpo
8 D. Szoboszlai
2 J. Gomez
80 T. Morton
78 J. Quansah
56 V. Jaroš
95 H. Davies
19 H. Elliott
66 T. Alexander-Arnold
3 W. Endō

Coach: A. Slot

Real Madrid

4-2-2-2
1 T. Courtois G
8 F. Valverde D
35 Raúl Asencio D
22 A. Rüdiger D
23 F. Mendy D
6 E. Camavinga M
10 L. Modrić M
15 A. Güler M
5 J. Bellingham M
21 Brahim Díaz F
9 K. Mbappé F
Bench (11)
17 Lucas Vázquez
19 Dani Ceballos
20 Fran García
16 Endrick
26 Fran González
42 Daniel Yáñez
43 Diego Aguado
30 Gonzalo García
40 Hugo de Llanos
18 Jesús Vallejo
13 A. Lunin

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.