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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Dinamo Zagreb
S T U S S
0–3
Full-time
Dortmund
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 71%
67%
75%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
4,8
Scored
2,5
3,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,13 xG 1,75
30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Dortmund
Raúl Torrente 🟨
19′
41′
J. Gittens 0–1
J. Brandt
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ J. Brandt
56′
R. Bensebaini 0–2
P. Groß
Martin Baturina 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Ramy Bensebaini
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ L. Stojković
62′
S. Kulenović 🔁
↦ M. Baturina
62′
62′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ M. Sabitzer
62′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ M. Beier
62′
🔁 J. Duranville
↦ J. Gittens
Sandro Kulenović 🟨
66′
A. Hoxha 🔁
↦ B. Pavić
73′
D. Špikić 🔁
↦ L. Kačavenda
73′
75′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ D. Malen
90′
S. Guirassy 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

5-3-2
1 D. Zagorac G
22 S. Ristovski D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
6 M. Bernauer D
4 Raúl Torrente D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
30 M. Rog M
66 B. Pavić M
7 L. Stojković M
8 L. Kačavenda F
10 M. Baturina F
Bench (7)
20 M. Pjaca
17 S. Kulenović
11 A. Hoxha
77 D. Špikić
23 I. Filipović
21 N. Mbuku
3 T. Ogiwara

Coach: N. Bjelica

Dortmund

4-3-3
1 G. Kobel G
13 P. Groß D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
5 R. Bensebaini D
20 M. Sabitzer M
8 F. Nmecha M
10 J. Brandt M
21 D. Malen F
14 M. Beier F
43 J. Gittens F
Bench (10)
26 J. Ryerson
7 G. Reyna
9 S. Guirassy
16 J. Duranville
2 Yan Couto
37 C. Campbell
23 E. Can
42 A. Kabar
35 M. Lotka
33 A. Meyer

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.