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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Juventus
U S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Bologna
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
36%
54%
Both score Ø 42%
29%
54%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 0,93
54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 6. · Bologna 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Atalanta 15 11 1 3 +21 +15.2 34
2 Napoli 14 10 2 2 +12 +9.1 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 +19 +12.7 31
4 Fiorentina 13 8 4 1 +17 +8.1 28
5 Lazio 14 9 1 4 +12 +13.6 28
6 Juventus 14 6 8 0 +14 +9.3 26
7 Milan 14 6 4 4 +8 +9.2 22
8 Bologna 13 5 6 2 +2 +1.4 21
9 Udinese 14 5 2 7 -5 -7.0 17
10 Torino 15 4 4 7 -4 -6.4 16
11 Empoli 14 3 7 4 -4 -9.7 16
12 Parma 15 3 6 6 -4 -6.0 15
13 Genoa 15 3 6 6 -11 -8.5 15
14 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 -9 -3.3 14
15 Roma 14 3 4 7 -6 -3.4 13
16 Lecce 14 3 4 7 -15 -7.8 13
17 Verona 14 4 0 10 -16 -11.7 12
18 Como 14 2 5 7 -12 -1.7 11
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 -5 -6.5 10
20 Venezia 14 2 2 10 -14 -6.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Bologna
J. Rouhi 🔁
↦ A. Cambiaso
13′
Timothy Weah 🟨
18′
30′
D. Ndoye 0–1
E. Holm
32′
🟨 Jens Odgaard
Half-time 0–2
52′
T. Pobega 0–2
S. Castro
60′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ J. Odgaard
1–2 T. Koopmeiners
Danilo
62′
K. Yıldız 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
64′
K. Thuram 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
64′
Pierre Kalulu 🟨
72′
76′
🟨 Santiago Castro
78′
🟨 Emil Holm
S. Mbangula 🔁
↦ T. Weah
79′
N. Savona 🔁
↦ F. Gatti
79′
80′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ S. Castro
80′
🔁 N. Moro
↦ T. Pobega
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Jhon Lucumí
83′
🔁 S. Posch
↦ E. Holm
84′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ B. Domínguez
2–2 S. Mbangula
D. Vlahović
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
1 M. Perin G
6 Danilo D
4 F. Gatti D
15 P. Kalulu D
27 A. Cambiaso D
5 M. Locatelli M
21 N. Fagioli M
7 Francisco Conceição M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
22 T. Weah M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (12)
40 J. Rouhi
10 K. Yıldız
19 K. Thuram
51 S. Mbangula
37 N. Savona
44 D. Pugno
29 M. Di Gregorio
23 C. Pinsoglio
17 V. Adžić
46 F. Pagnucco
47 N. Rizzo
43 A. Owusu

Coach: T. Motta

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
2 E. Holm D
31 S. Beukema D
26 J. Lucumí D
33 Juan Miranda D
8 R. Freuler M
18 T. Pobega M
11 D. Ndoye M
21 J. Odgaard M
30 B. Domínguez M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (14)
80 G. Fabbian
24 T. Dallinga
6 N. Moro
3 S. Posch
14 S. Iling-Junior
16 T. Corazza
15 N. Casale
10 J. Karlsson
5 M. Erlić
82 K. Urbański
19 L. Ferguson
23 N. Bagnolini
29 L. De Silvestri
34 F. Ravaglia

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
3,60
B
5,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.