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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Villarreal

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

Girona

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,30 xG 0,14

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Girona 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	4
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
10	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
11	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.4	2
12	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
13	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
14	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
16	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
17	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
20	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
12	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
14	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
9	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
12	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
13	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.