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Premier League

Referee: P Bankes

Leeds

S S S T U

0–0

Full-time

Newcastle

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,69 xG 0,46

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 13. · Newcastle 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+6	+4.3	7
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
3	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.5	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
5	Sunderland	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.3	6
6	Everton	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.3	6
7	Bournemouth	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.7	6
8	Nott'm Forest	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
9	Man United	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.5	4
10	Man City	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.4	3
11	Burnley	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.6	3
12	Brentford	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
13	Leeds	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.4	3
14	Crystal Palace	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
15	Fulham	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.9	2
16	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.5	1
17	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
18	Brighton	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.5	1
19	Wolves	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.6	0
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.5	6
2	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.7	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.0	3
6	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
9	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
10	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
11	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
12	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
14	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
15	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
16	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
18	Man City	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.0	0
20	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.0	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Everton	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
7	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
8	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
12	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
15	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Brentford	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.8	0
20	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.