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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Levante
S S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Barcelona
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,14 xG 1,93
18% Possession 82%
8 Shots 26
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 8
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 11
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 17. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Betis 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.0 4
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.9 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.9 3
4 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
5 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
6 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.9 3
7 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
8 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.3 3
9 Alaves 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
10 Elche 2 0 2 0 +0 -2.4 2
11 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
12 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
13 Ath Madrid 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.0 1
14 Celta 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.6 1
15 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -3 -2.0 1
16 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.9 0
17 Levante 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
18 Osasuna 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
19 Girona 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.9 0
20 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Barcelona
1–0 I. Romero
J. Toljan
15′
44′
🟨 Alejandro Balde
2–0 J. Morales
45′
Half-time 2–0
José Luis Morales 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 D. Olmo
↦ M. Rashford
46′
🔁 Gavi
↦ M. Casado
Pablo Martínez 🟨
48′
49′
Pedri 2–1
Lamine Yamal
José Luis Morales ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
52′
F. Torres 2–2
Raphinha
C. Alvarez 🔁
↦ J. Morales
59′
D. Varela Pampin 🔁
↦ M. Sanchez
75′
I. Losada 🔁
↦ I. Romero
75′
C. Espi 🔁
↦ R. Brugue
75′
76′
🔁 R. Lewandowski
↦ A. Balde
76′
🔁 A. Christensen
↦ R. Araujo
85′
🔁 J. Kounde
↦ E. Garcia
V. Garcia 🔁
↦ J. Toljan
86′
Diego Pampín 🟨
89′
90′
U. Elgezabal 3–2
own goal
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Levante

5-4-1
1 P. Cunat G
22 J. Toljan D
4 Dela D
5 U. Elgezabal D
14 J. Cabello D
23 M. Sanchez D
7 R. Brugue M
10 P. Martinez M
20 O. Rey M
11 J. Morales M
9 I. Romero F
Bench (10)
32 A. Primo
2 M. Moreno
6 D. Varela Pampin
17 V. Garcia
18 I. Losada
19 C. Espi
21 S. Lozano
24 C. Alvarez
27 P. Cortes
29 N. Perez

Coach: Julián Calero Fernández

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
24 E. Garcia D
4 R. Araujo D
5 P. Cubarsi D
3 A. Balde D
17 M. Casado M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
11 Raphinha M
14 M. Rashford M
7 F. Torres F
Bench (11)
20 D. Olmo
6 Gavi
9 R. Lewandowski
15 A. Christensen
16 F. Lopez
1 I. Pena
23 J. Kounde
26 J. Torrents
31 D. Kochen
27 D. Fernandez
29 T. Fernandez

Coach: Hans-Dieter Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,44
U
6,51
B ✓
1,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,35
U2,5
3,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.