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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Aston Villa
T S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Newcastle
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,20 xG 1,43
40% Possession 60%
3 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Apr -25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4–1 26. Dec -24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 30. Jan -24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 12. Aug -23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 15. Apr -23 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0

Match report

Aston Villa Newcastle
45′
🟨 Joelinton
Half-time 0–0
Boubacar Kamara 🟨
58′
Ezri Konsa 🟥
66′
78′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ A. Elanga
83′
🔁 L. Miley
↦ Joelinton
D. Malen 🔁
↦ J. McGinn
84′
90′
🔁 W. Osula
↦ H. Barnes
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
5 T. Mings D
12 L. Digne D
44 B. Kamara M
24 A. Onana M
7 J. McGinn M
8 Y. Tielemans M
27 M. Rogers M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (9)
64 J. Wright
17 D. Malen
14 P. Torres
22 I. Maatsen
19 S. Iling Junior
26 L. Bogarde
10 E. Buendia
29 E. Guessand
20 J. Jimoh-Aloba

Coach: Unai Emery

Newcastle

4-3-3
1 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
5 F. Schar D
33 D. Burn D
21 V. Livramento D
39 Bruno Guimaraes M
8 S. Tonali M
7 Joelinton M
20 A. Elanga F
10 A. Gordon F
11 H. Barnes F
Bench (9)
32 A. Ramsdale
17 E. Krafth
4 S. Botman
12 M. Thiaw
3 L. Hall
23 J. Murphy
18 W. Osula
67 L. Miley
64 Park Seung-soo

Coach: Eddie Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
🔒
U ✓
3,56
🔒
B
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,61
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,25
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.