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La Liga

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Vallecano

U S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,85 xG 1,83

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 4

7 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 11. · Barcelona 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.6	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+3	+3.6	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.7	7
4	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.7	7
5	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
6	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
7	Elche	3	1	2	0	+2	-2.3	5
8	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
10	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.9	3
13	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
14	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	-0.2	3
15	Oviedo	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.3	3
16	Sociedad	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.3	2
17	Ath Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
18	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
19	Levante	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.3	0
20	Girona	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.1	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
6	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
10	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
11	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
12	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
13	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
15	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
8	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
9	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
17	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
18	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
19	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
20	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.