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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Barcelona

T S S S U

6–0

Full-time

Valencia

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,02 xG 0,18

72% Possession 28%

24 Shots 2

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 5. · Valencia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+4.8	12
2	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.6	9
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.7	9
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.8	7
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
6	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.7	7
7	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.6	7
8	Elche	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.7	6
9	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
10	Betis	5	1	3	1	+0	+2.5	6
11	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.2	5
12	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
13	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.5	4
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
15	Celta	5	0	4	1	-2	+1.6	4
16	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.6	3
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.5	2
18	Levante	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.7	1
19	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
20	Girona	4	0	1	3	-9	-6.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.9	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.1	6
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
8	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
9	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
10	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
12	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.6	3
13	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
15	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
18	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
19	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
3	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Betis	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
7	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
8	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
9	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-5	-4.0	1
16	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
17	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
19	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
20	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.